Henning Tops Title Projection as Maestrelli Leads Seeds in Hersonissos
Francesco Maestrelli is the top seed in a 32-player draw at the Challenger event in Hersonissos, but Umpiry's pre-tournament model gives Philip Henning the best title chance. Six qualifiers, including two-time qualifying winner Jack Loge, have joined the main draw, with Loge drawn against Maestrelli in the first round.
Umpiry Editorial · 2 min read
- Francesco Maestrelli is the No. 1 seed at No. 168 in the official ranking, with Henry Searle, Raul Brancaccio and Remy Bertola also among the top seeds.
- Umpiry's model gives Philip Henning the highest title probability, ahead of Andrej Nedic and Robin Bertrand.
- Six qualifiers advanced through qualifying, each winning two matches across an 18-match qualifying event.
Maestrelli Leads a Tightly Packed Seeded Group
The Challenger event in Hersonissos opened its main draw with a full field of 32 and no byes, meaning every seed faces a first-round match on the hard courts. Francesco Maestrelli holds the No. 1 seed at a ranking of No. 168, with Henry Searle seeded second at No. 231 and Raul Brancaccio seeded third at No. 222.
Remy Bertola is the fourth seed at No. 221, with Felix Gill, Philip Henning, Andrej Nedic and Sumit Nagal completing the eight seeds, Gill at No. 217 and Nagal at No. 264 in the official ranking.
Six Qualifiers Earn Their Place
Qualifying produced six main-draw entrants across 18 matches, with Jack Loge, Lorenzo Angelini, Lorenzo Carboni, Adrian Andreev, Oskari Paldanius and Benjamin Pietri all winning two matches to book their places. Loge enters as the highest-ranked of the group at No. 401, while Pietri came through from No. 711 in the official ranking.
Loge's reward for coming through qualifying is a first-round meeting with Francesco Maestrelli, the kind of draw that can end a run as quickly as it began. Elsewhere in the opening round, Felix Gill takes on Menelaos Efstathiou, and Remy Bertola is paired against Lorenzo Carboni.
- Jack Loge
Q · 2 qualifying wins
- Lorenzo Angelini
Q · 2 qualifying wins
- Lorenzo Carboni
Q · 2 qualifying wins
- Adrian Andreev
Q · 2 qualifying wins
- Oskari Paldanius
Q · 2 qualifying wins
- Benjamin Pietri
Q · 2 qualifying wins
Opening matches to watch
- Francesco Maestrelli vs Jack Loge · Round of 32
- Felix Gill vs Menelaos Efstathiou · Round of 32
- Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni · Round of 32
Henning Favoured by the Model
According to Umpiry's pre-tournament projection, Philip Henning carries the best chance of the title, ahead of Andrej Nedic and unseeded Robin Bertrand. Remy Bertola and unseeded Ryan Peniston are tied for fourth in the model's projection.
The spread of the top probabilities underlines how open the draw is projected to be, with no single player clearly favoured over the rest of the field.
Title chances
| Player | Title chance before the event |
|---|---|
| Philip Henning | 11% |
| Andrej Nedic | 7.4% |
| Robin Bertrand | 6.8% |
| Remy Bertola | 4.6% |
| Ryan Peniston | 4.6% |
Title chances are Umpiry's model before the first main-draw match. How the model works
Data and sources
Tournament draw · ATP rankings · How Umpiry's model works · Photo credits
Every figure comes from Umpiry's tennis data as of .
Drafted by an AI model from Umpiry data, checked automatically against our database and approved by an editor before publication. Editorial policy
