Dane Sweeny vs Christian Langmo | Sydney Round of 32

UMPIRY

SydneyR32HardTue 17 Nov · 10:00

Dane Sweeny(1)ATP #116 · AUS69%

VSClear favourite · Sweeny D.

Christian LangmoATP #528 · USA31%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sweeny D.

69%31%

Clear edge for Sweeny D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sweeny D.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Langmo C.4.7/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+190 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sweeny D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1460Supports Sweeny D.

Head-to-headLeads 3–1 on hardSupports Sweeny D.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Sweeny D.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 812

Hard ELO1 717

Last 106–4

Age25

Height170 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.0M2026 $400K

ELO1 665

Hard ELO1 620

Last 107–3

Age30

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $174K2026 $20K

Dane Sweeny faces Christian Langmo in the Sydney round of 32 on hard. Dane Sweeny holds the paper edge — ranked #116, leading the head-to-head 4–1, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Dane Sweeny comes in with 2 days of rest and 70 games in 14d, vs Christian Langmo's 1 and 179.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Dane Sweeny has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 45 vs 22).
Head-to-head: Dane Sweeny leads the head-to-head 4–1, 3–1 on hard. Last met at Sydney CH 2025.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Sweeny D. leads 4–1

Hard: Sweeny D. leads 3–1 · Grass: Sweeny D. leads 1–0

Sweeny D.November 2025Sydney CHHard2-0
Sweeny D.March 2025M25 Mildura 1Grass7-6(3) 6-3
Sweeny D.February 2025M25 Burnie 1Hard6-3 6-2
Langmo C.February 2025Brisbane 2 CHHard6-2 6-2
Sweeny D.June 2023Tyler CHHard6-4 7-5

Evidence

Sweeny D.Langmo C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–47–3

Season win rate53% (32–28)54% (35–30)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18121665

Hard-court ELO17171620

Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 59 matches

1st-serve points won66%73%

Return points won39%35%

Aces / match3.07.1

ClutchLast 54 vs 59 matches

Break points saved59%68%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast18°C · Drizzle

Wind14 km/h

Humidity69%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Sweeny D.Langmo C.

2Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days6

70Games · 7 days157

3Matches · 14 days7

70Games · 14 days179

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dane Sweeny vs Christian Langmo — Sydney Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-17/langmo-vs-sweeny-sydney-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 November 2026).