Patrick Maloney vs Alastair Gray | Champaign Round of 32

UMPIRY

ChampaignR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00

Patrick MaloneyATP #779 · USA33%

VSClear favourite · Gray A.

Alastair Gray(4)ATP #270 · GBR67%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Gray A.

33%67%

Clear edge for Gray A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Maloney P.5.4/10

Clear underdog

Gray A.6.2/10

Even match

Why

Surface+97 Hard Elo edgeSupports Gray A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1390Supports Gray A.

Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Maloney P.

CountryWon 63% in USA (117)Against the prediction · Maloney P.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 671

Hard ELO1 600

Last 104–6

Age26

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 721

Hard ELO1 679

Last 106–4

Age28

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

Patrick Maloney faces Alastair Gray in the Champaign round of 32 on hard. Alastair Gray holds the paper edge — ranked #270, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Tiburon 2026.
Surface form: Patrick Maloney 4 of 10, Alastair Gray 6 of 10 on hard recently — Alastair Gray the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1

Maloney P.September 2026TiburonHard3-6 7-5 6-7(3)
Gray A.January 2024M25 Loughborough 1Hard7-6(1) 6-4

Evidence

Maloney P.Gray A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate50% (9–9)55% (32–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16711721

Hard-court ELO16001679

Serve vs returnLast 15 vs 56 matches

1st-serve points won70%72%

Return points won36%38%

Aces / match4.96.1

ClutchLast 15 vs 56 matches

Break points saved62%64%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast7°C · Clear

Wind11 km/h

Humidity63%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Patrick Maloney vs Alastair Gray — Champaign Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/gray-vs-maloney-champaign-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).