UMPIRY
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Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady — Kobe Round of 32

KobeR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Honda N.4.5/10
Heavy underdog
Broady L.7.0/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+341 Hard Elo edgeSupports Broady L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1590Supports Broady L.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Broady L.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Honda N.
ELO1 557
Hard ELO1 542
Last 104–6
Age20
EarningsCareer $42K2026 $11K
ELO1 714
Hard ELO1 665
Last 104–6
Age32
EarningsCareer $2.2M2026 $122K

Naoya Honda faces Liam Broady in the Kobe round of 32 on hard. Liam Broady holds the paper edge — ranked #215, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 340-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Naoya Honda 34 games in 14 days, Liam Broady 47.
  • Head-to-head: Liam Broady leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Ningboo 2026.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Broady L. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Honda N.Broady L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate52% (23–21) (ahead)51% (27–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15571714 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15421665 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 29 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)69%
Return points won38%41% (ahead)
Aces / match4.4 (ahead)2.9
ClutchLast 29 vs 50 matches
Break points saved55%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast17°C · Partly cloudy
Wind12 km/h
Humidity59%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Honda N.Broady L.
4Days since last match6 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
34Games · 7 days29 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days2
34 — fresherGames · 14 days47
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady — Kobe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/broady-vs-honda-kobe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).