UMPIRY
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John Sperle vs Moez Echargui — Helsinki Qualifying Round of 32

HelsinkiQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · ~14:00COURT 6 · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Echargui M.
36%64%

Echargui M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sperle J.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Echargui M.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Echargui M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Echargui M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 636
Hard ELO1 499
Last 105–5
Age24
EarningsCareer $59K2026 $16K
ELO1 689
Hard ELO1 621
Last 105–5
Age33
EarningsCareer $570K2026 $271K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sperle J.Echargui M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate60% (24–16) (ahead)37% (22–37)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16361689 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14991621 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won63%69% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)36%
Aces / match1.64.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 52 matches
Break points saved56%57% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT 6 · After 2 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 6 · ~14:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast8°C · Drizzle
Wind40 km/h
Humidity84%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "John Sperle vs Moez Echargui — Helsinki Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/echargui-vs-sperle-helsinki-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).