Jay Clarke vs Arvid Nordquist | Helsinki Qualifying Round of 32

UMPIRY

HelsinkiQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · ~12:30COURT 6 · After 1 match

Jay ClarkeATP #243 · GBR64%

VSSlight edge · Clarke J.

Arvid NordquistATP #663 · SWE36%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Clarke J.

64%36%

Clarke J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Clarke J.5.9/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Nordquist A.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 704

Hard ELO1 609

Last 104–6

Age28

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $143K

ELO1 570

Hard ELO1 549

Last 107–3

Age28

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $27K2026 $6K

Jay Clarke faces Arvid Nordquist in the Helsinki qualifying round of 32 on hard. Jay Clarke holds the paper edge — ranked #243.

Key context

Freshness: Jay Clarke comes in with 4 days of rest and 117 games in 14d, vs Arvid Nordquist's 7 and 55.
Surface form: Jay Clarke 3 of 5, Arvid Nordquist 2 of 5 on hard recently — Jay Clarke the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Clarke J.Nordquist A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–67–3

Season win rate48% (29–31)67% (18–9)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17041570

Hard-court ELO16091549

Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 15 matches

1st-serve points won68%69%

Return points won40%41%

Aces / match3.32.1

ClutchLast 57 vs 15 matches

Break points saved61%54%

When it starts

COURT 6 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Coppejans K. v Oetzbach A.7-5 0-0
2This match: Clarke J. v Nordquist A.This match
3Sperle J. v Echargui M.Followed by
4Agwi M. v Durasovic V.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 6 · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast9°C · Overcast

Wind41 km/h

Humidity78%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Clarke J.Nordquist A.

4Days since last match7

2Matches · 7 days1

53Games · 7 days23

5Matches · 14 days2

117Games · 14 days55

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jay Clarke vs Arvid Nordquist — Helsinki Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/clarke-vs-nordquist-helsinki-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).