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Jazmin Ortenzi vs Leolia Jeanjean — Cundinamarca Open - Sopo Round of 32

Cundinamarca Open - SopoR32ClayTue 10 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Jeanjean L.
30%70%

Clear edge for Jeanjean L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ortenzi J.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Jeanjean L.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+129 Clay Elo edgeSupports Jeanjean L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1653Supports Jeanjean L.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Jeanjean L.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 687
Clay ELO1 693
Last 106–4
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $298K2026 $133K
ELO1 820
Clay ELO1 717
Last 107–3
Age31
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $550K

Jazmin Ortenzi faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Cundinamarca Open - Sopo round of 32 on clay. Leolia Jeanjean holds the paper edge — ranked #91, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Under pressure: Leolia Jeanjean has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 78 vs Jazmin Ortenzi's 46).
  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Jazmin Ortenzi 104 games in 14 days, Leolia Jeanjean 83.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Ortenzi J. and Jeanjean L. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ortenzi J. went 2–3 (40%) against them, Jeanjean L. 5–1 (83%). Jeanjean L. came out better against 2 of 5 comparable opponents, Ortenzi J. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).

2–340%Ortenzi J. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents5–183%Jeanjean L. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
3–8Sets10–5
42–59Games76–62
0–1Tiebreaks2–0
1–0Deciding sets3–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ortenzi J.Jeanjean L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (21–18)56% (33–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16871820 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16931717 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won57%64% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)43%
Aces / match0.52.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 59 matches
Break points saved48%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity44%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Ortenzi J.Jeanjean L.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
45 — fresherGames · 7 days66
5Matches · 14 days4 — fresher
104Games · 14 days83 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jazmin Ortenzi vs Leolia Jeanjean — Cundinamarca Open - Sopo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/jeanjean-vs-ortenzi-cundinamarca-open-sopo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).