Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko

UMPIRY

Cundinamarca Open - SopoR32ClayTue 10 Nov · 10:00Court 2 · Next on

Polona HercogWTA #201 · SLO64%

VSSlight edge · Hercog P.

Varvara LepchenkoWTA #199 · USA36%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Hercog P.

64%36%

Hercog P. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Hercog P.6.0/10

Even match

Lepchenko V.5.0/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+41 Clay Elo edgeSupports Hercog P.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1590Supports Hercog P.

Head-to-headLeads 3–0 on claySupports Hercog P.

Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Hercog P.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

ELO1 683

Clay ELO1 685

Last 105–5

Age35

Height182 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.6M2026 $48K

ELO1 647

Clay ELO1 634

Last 105–5

Age40

Height180 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $5.8M2026 $174K

Polona Hercog faces Varvara Lepchenko in the Cundinamarca Open - Sopo round of 32 on clay. Polona Hercog holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 4–2, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Head-to-head: Polona Hercog leads the head-to-head 4–2, 3–0 on clay. Last met at Montevideo 125 2023.
Fatigue load: Polona Hercog carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Hercog P. and Lepchenko V. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Hercog P. went 2–1 (67%) against them, Lepchenko V. 0–3 (0%). Hercog P. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Lepchenko V. against 0 — though 2 of those edges carry caveats (lower-tier event).

2–167%Hercog P. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents0–30%Lepchenko V. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

5–2Sets0–6

37–25Games21–37

1–0Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Udvardy P.#86W7-6 6-1Colina 125 · clayL3-6 5-7Buenos Aires 125 · clay
vs Kalieva E.#120W6-3 6-1Quito 125 · clayL4-6 2-6Quito 125 · clay
vs Ibragimova A.#162L1-6 6-1 5-7Antalya 125 1 · clayL3-6 4-6Iasi · clay

Head-to-head

6 meetings · Hercog P. leads 4–2

Clay: Hercog P. leads 3–0 · Grass: level 1–1 · Hard: Lepchenko V. leads 1–0

Hercog P.December 2023Montevideo 125Clay7-6 6-2
Hercog P.July 2017WimbledonGrass6-7 6-2 6-2
Lepchenko V.June 2016's HertogenboschGrass6-4 4-0
Lepchenko V.January 2013Australian OpenHard6-4 6-1
Hercog P.April 2012CharlestonClay6-3 6-2

Evidence

Hercog P.Lepchenko V.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–55–5

Season win rate57% (30–23)43% (20–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16831647

Clay-court ELO16851634

Serve vs returnLast 51 vs 46 matches

1st-serve points won64%61%

Return points won46%43%

Aces / match2.22.5

ClutchLast 51 vs 46 matches

Break points saved56%56%

When it starts

Court 2 · Next on · Starting at 10:00 AM

1This match: Hercog P. v Lepchenko V.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 2 · 10:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast20°C · Clear

Wind15 km/h

Humidity44%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko — Cundinamarca Open - Sopo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/hercog-vs-lepchenko-cundinamarca-open-sopo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).