UMPIRY
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Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Lima 3 Round of 32

Lima 3R32ClayMon 9 Nov · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Barrios Vera T.
38%62%

Barrios Vera T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Varillas J.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Barrios Vera T.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+158 Clay Elo edgeSupports Barrios Vera T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1615Supports Barrios Vera T.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 5–2 on claySupports Barrios Vera T.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 725
Clay ELO1 709
Last 104–6
Age31
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.9M2026 $48K
ELO1 791
Clay ELO1 702
Last 105–5
Age28
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $300K

Juan Pablo Varillas faces Tomas Barrios Vera in the Lima 3 round of 32 on clay. Tomas Barrios Vera holds the paper edge — ranked #154, leading the head-to-head 6–2, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Varillas J. and Barrios Vera T. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Varillas J. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Barrios Vera T. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Varillas J. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Barrios Vera T. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–2Sets0–2
15–19Games4–12
1–0Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

8 meetings · Barrios Vera T. leads 6–2
26

Clay: Barrios Vera T. leads 5–2 · Hard: Barrios Vera T. leads 1–0

Evidence

Varillas J.Barrios Vera T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (33–28) (ahead)49% (30–31)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17251791 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO1709 (ahead)1702
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)66%
Return points won40% (ahead)39%
Aces / match3.7 (ahead)2.7
ClutchLast 57 vs 50 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Mainly clear
Wind9 km/h
Humidity67%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Varillas J.Barrios Vera T.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
30 — fresherGames · 7 days56
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
47 — fresherGames · 14 days93
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Lima 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/varillas-vs-vera-lima-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).