Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
Pavlovic L.
Luka Pavlovic defeated Juan Pablo Varillas in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-3, 6-7, 7-5. Pavlovic hit 18 aces and committed 15 double faults, while converting 25 percent of break points and winning 82 percent of first-serve points. Pavlovic secured four service breaks to Varillas' two en the 3-set match.
Key context
- Match story: Luka Pavlovic closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPavlovic L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About