UMPIRY
EN

Elmer Moller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Lima 3 Round of 32

Lima 3R32ClayMon 9 Nov · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Moller E.
67%33%

Clear edge for Moller E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Moller E.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Olivieri G.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+129 Clay Elo edgeSupports Moller E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1609Supports Moller E.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Olivieri G.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 778
Clay ELO1 733
Last 106–4
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $742K2026 $170K
ELO1 685
Clay ELO1 652
Last 106–4
Age28
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $820K2026 $144K

Elmer Moller faces Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Lima 3 round of 32 on clay. Elmer Moller is the paper favourite — ranked #150, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage — but Genaro Alberto Olivieri has won their only previous meeting. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Moller E. and Olivieri G. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Moller E. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Olivieri G. 0–2 (0%).

0–20%Moller E. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–20%Olivieri G. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–4Sets0–3
19–26Games8–18
0–2Tiebreaks0–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Olivieri G. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Moller E.Olivieri G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate49% (26–27) (ahead)48% (28–30)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1778 (ahead)1685
Clay-court ELO1733 (ahead)1652
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won62% (ahead)60%
Return points won43% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.9 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 48 vs 56 matches
Break points saved57%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Mainly clear
Wind9 km/h
Humidity67%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Moller E.Olivieri G.
3 — fresherDays since last match1
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
31 — fresherGames · 7 days68
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
31 — fresherGames · 14 days93
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elmer Moller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Lima 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/moller-vs-olivieri-lima-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).