Elmer Moller vs Thomas FaurelBastad Qualifying Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#319ATP
1459ELO
1424Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWW
Moller E.
3-6 4-6
Faurel T.
Moller E.
340
Faurel T.
662

Thomas Faurel cruised past Elmer Moller, conceding only seven games, in the Bastad qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 5: A 13-point game with four deuces went Elmer Moller's way.
  • Set 1, game 6: Elmer Moller saved four break points to hold serve.
  • Set 2, game 9: A 13-point game with four deuces went Thomas Faurel's way.
  • Pressure points: Elmer Moller converted 2 of 7 break points; Thomas Faurel converted 4 of 16 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Moller E.
Faurel T.
Break points won
2/7
4/16
Break points saved
12/16
5/7

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Faurel T.

Faurel T.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Moller E.74%
Faurel T.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Moller E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+169 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1424
6.9Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1459
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
79

Moller E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Faurel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 60%