UMPIRY
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Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Orleans Round of 32

OrleansR32HardMon 9 Nov · ~20:30CENTRAL ARENA · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Budkov Kjaer N.
62%38%

Budkov Kjaer N. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Budkov Kjaer N.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Gueymard Wayenburg S.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+204 Hard Elo edgeSupports Budkov Kjaer N.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1620Supports Budkov Kjaer N.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Gueymard Wayenburg S.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 792
Hard ELO1 654
Last 106–4
Age20
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $861K2026 $407K
ELO1 699
Hard ELO1 633
Last 105–5
Age23
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $428K2026 $103K

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer faces Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Orleans round of 32 on hard. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer holds the paper edge — ranked #182, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Budkov Kjaer N.Gueymard Wayenburg S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate51% (34–33)52% (31–29) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1792 (ahead)1699
Hard-court ELO1654 (ahead)1633
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won68%72% (ahead)
Return points won37%37%
Aces / match3.97.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 62 vs 59 matches
Break points saved59%63% (ahead)

When it starts

CENTRAL ARENA · After 2 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRAL ARENA · ~20:30 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast10°C · Rain
Wind12 km/h
Humidity94%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Budkov Kjaer N.Gueymard Wayenburg S.
3Days since last match4 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days2
52Games · 7 days50 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
102Games · 14 days70 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Orleans Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/kjaer-vs-wayenburg-orleans-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).