Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino | Orleans Round of 32

UMPIRY

OrleansR32HardMon 9 Nov · 19:00CENTRAL ARENA · After 1 match

Benjamin Bonzi(6)ATP #95 · FRA84%

VSStrong favourite · Bonzi B.

Andrea PellegrinoATP #140 · ITA16%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Bonzi B.

84%16%

Clear edge for Bonzi B. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bonzi B.6.7/10

Slight advantage

Pellegrino A.4.6/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+291 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bonzi B.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1749Supports Bonzi B.

Surface switchClay → HardSupports Bonzi B.

Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysInformative

Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players

ELO1 932

Hard ELO1 800

Last 105–5

Age30

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.8M2026 $584K

ELO1 807

Hard ELO1 442

Last 104–6

Age29

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $385K

Benjamin Bonzi faces Andrea Pellegrino in the Orleans round of 32 on hard. Benjamin Bonzi is the paper favourite — ranked #95, a roughly 290-point hard Elo advantage — but Andrea Pellegrino has won both their previous meetings, though none on hard.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Benjamin Bonzi 90 games in 14 days, Andrea Pellegrino 0.
Under pressure: Andrea Pellegrino has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 55 vs Benjamin Bonzi's 27).
Head-to-head: Andrea Pellegrino leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Bordeaux CH 2022.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Bonzi B. and Pellegrino A. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Bonzi B. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Pellegrino A. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Bonzi B. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Pellegrino A. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets0–2

12–18Games5–12

1–0Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Sinner J.#2L7-6 1-6 4-6Madrid Masters · clayL2-6 3-6Rome Masters · clay

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Pellegrino A. leads 2–0

Pellegrino A.May 2022Bordeaux CHClay3-6 6-3 6-4
Pellegrino A.July 2016Italy F21Clay6-2 6-2

Evidence

Bonzi B.Pellegrino A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–54–6

Season win rate58% (39–28)56% (32–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19321807

Hard-court ELO18001442

Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 49 matches

1st-serve points won73%68%

Return points won35%38%

Aces / match6.53.5

ClutchLast 58 vs 49 matches

Break points saved63%62%

When it starts

CENTRAL ARENA · After 1 match · Not before 7:00 PM

1Tabur C. v Neumayer L.Not before 4:30 PM
2This match: Bonzi B. v Pellegrino A.This match
3Budkov Kjaer N. v Gueymard Wayenburg S.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRAL ARENA · 19:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast10°C · Rain

Wind10 km/h

Humidity94%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Bonzi B.Pellegrino A.

5Days since last match16

2Matches · 7 days0

59Games · 7 days0

3Matches · 14 days0

90Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino — Orleans Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/bonzi-vs-pellegrino-orleans-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).