UMPIRY
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Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch — Orleans Round of 32

OrleansR32HardMon 9 Nov · 16:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Houkes M.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Gentzsch T.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+187 Hard Elo edgeSupports Gentzsch T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1565Supports Gentzsch T.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 745
Hard ELO1 516
Last 107–3
Age26
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $293K2026 $108K
ELO1 765
Hard ELO1 588
Last 105–5
Age23
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $300K2026 $200K

Max Houkes faces Tom Gentzsch in the Orleans round of 32 on hard. Tom Gentzsch holds the paper edge — ranked #165, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Gentzsch T. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Houkes M.Gentzsch T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate62% (36–22)62% (43–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17451765 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15161588 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 69 matches
1st-serve points won70%72% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)38%
Aces / match3.76.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 58 vs 69 matches
Break points saved60%64% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:30 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast12°C · Overcast
Wind10 km/h
Humidity86%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Houkes M.Gentzsch T.
6 — fresherDays since last match3
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
20 — fresherGames · 7 days44
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
20 — fresherGames · 14 days44
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch — Orleans Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/gentzsch-vs-houkes-orleans-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).