Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes — Bunschoten Quarter-final
Gentzsch T.
Tom Gentzsch faces Max Houkes in the Bunschoten quarter-final on clay. Tom Gentzsch holds the paper edge — ranked #212, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Gentzsch T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Tom Gentzsch 42 games in 14 days, Max Houkes 16.
- Last match: Tom Gentzsch dropped just 5 games past Pieter De Lange.
- Last match: Max Houkes dropped just 5 games past Max Schoenhaus.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadGentzsch T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Houkes M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.