Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs | Stockholm Round of 32

UMPIRY

StockholmR32HardMon 9 Nov · 11:00

Holger RuneATP #433 · DEN67%

VSClear favourite · Rune H.

Zizou Bergs(8)ATP #40 · BEL33%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rune H.

67%33%

Clear edge for Rune H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Rune H.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Bergs Z.6.0/10

Even match

Why

Surface+32 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Bergs Z.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1808Against the prediction · Bergs Z.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardInformative

This eventReached the semis here last yearSupports Rune H.

ELO2 048

Hard ELO1 913

Last 104–6

Age23

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $15.7M

ELO1 964

Hard ELO1 787

Last 105–5

Age27

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $1.5M

Holger Rune faces Zizou Bergs in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. They have met 2 times, Holger Rune leading 2–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Holger Rune 116 games in 14 days, Zizou Bergs 46.
Under pressure: Holger Rune has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 90 vs Zizou Bergs's 49).
Head-to-head: Holger Rune leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Marseille 2022.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Rune H. and Bergs Z. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rune H. went 1–2 (33%) against them, Bergs Z. 1–4 (20%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

1–233%Rune H. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–420%Bergs Z. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

3–5Sets4–9

41–42Games54–70

1–1Tiebreaks1–2

1–1Deciding sets0–1

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Paul T.#14L5-7 4-6Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hardL6-7(5) 4-6Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Hurkacz H.#29W3-6 6-3 7-6(7)Basel · hardL6-3 3-6 4-6Basel · hard
vs Altmaier D.#63L6-1 6-7(5) 4-6Shanghai Masters · hardW6-3 3-2Eastbourne · grass

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Rune H. leads 2–0

Rune H.February 2022MarseilleHard1-6 6-3 6-4
Rune H.January 2021M15+H Bressuire 1Hard6-1 6-4

Evidence

Rune H.Bergs Z.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–65–5

Season win rate33% (2–4)53% (30–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO20481964

Hard-court ELO19131787

Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 55 matches

1st-serve points won73%75%

Return points won29%37%

Aces / match6.57.7

ClutchLast 6 vs 55 matches

Break points saved48%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast4°C · Overcast

Wind13 km/h

Humidity77%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Rune H.Bergs Z.

5Days since last match6

1Matches · 7 days1

22Games · 7 days18

4Matches · 14 days2

116Games · 14 days46

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs — Stockholm Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/bergs-vs-rune-stockholm-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).