Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Stockholm Round of 32

UMPIRY

StockholmR32HardSun 8 Nov · 16:00CENTER COURT · After 1 match

Elias YmerATP #245 · SWE25%

VSClear favourite · Cerundolo J.

Juan Manuel CerundoloATP #54 · ARG75%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cerundolo J.

25%75%

Clear edge for Cerundolo J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Ymer E.4.8/10

Heavy underdog

Cerundolo J.6.6/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+130 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cerundolo J.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1790Supports Cerundolo J.

Recent runLost last 5Informative

This eventReached the quarters here last yearAgainst the prediction · Ymer E.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Ymer E.

ELO1 731

Hard ELO1 609

Last 103–7

Age30

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $242K

ELO1 932

Hard ELO1 664

Last 105–5

Age24

Height183 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $2.7M2026 $1.0M

Elias Ymer faces Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. Juan Manuel Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Elias Ymer comes in with 11 days of rest and 30 games in 14d, vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo's 5 and 152.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Juan Manuel Cerundolo has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 74 vs 12).
Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Salzburg CH 2023.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Ymer E. and Cerundolo J. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Ymer E. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Cerundolo J. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Ymer E. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Cerundolo J. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets2–0

7–13Games13–8

0–0Tiebreaks1–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Fery A.#32L2-6 5-7Roland Garros · clayW6-2 7-6Eastbourne · grass

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Cerundolo J. leads 1–0

Cerundolo J.July 2023Salzburg CHClay1-6 6-2 6-3

Evidence

Ymer E.Cerundolo J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–75–5

Season win rate46% (23–27)58% (38–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17311932

Hard-court ELO16091664

Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 60 matches

1st-serve points won71%72%

Return points won35%37%

Aces / match5.85.8

ClutchLast 45 vs 60 matches

Break points saved61%61%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 1 match · Not before 16:00

1Basilashvili N. v Gojo B.Starts at 12:00
2This match: Ymer E. v Cerundolo J.This match
3Tirante T. v Munar J.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 16:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast4°C · Clear

Wind9 km/h

Humidity81%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Ymer E.Cerundolo J.

11Days since last match5

0Matches · 7 days3

0Games · 7 days75

1Matches · 14 days6

30Games · 14 days152

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Stockholm Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-08/cerundolo-vs-ymer-stockholm-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 8 November 2026).