Quinn Vandecasteele vs Bryce Nakashima — M25 Harlingen Round of 32
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Nakashima B.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Nakashima B.
CountryWon 60% in USA (87)Against the prediction · Nakashima B.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 598
Hard ELO1 571
Last 103–7
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $95K2026 $28K
ELO1 582
Hard ELO1 568
Last 107–3
Age22
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $41K2026 $25K
Quinn Vandecasteele faces Bryce Nakashima in the M25 Harlingen round of 32 on hard. Quinn Vandecasteele is the paper favourite — ranked #472 — but Bryce Nakashima arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Quinn Vandecasteele's 3 of 10. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.
Key context
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Tiburon 2026.
- Surface form: Quinn Vandecasteele 3 of 10, Bryce Nakashima 7 of 10 on hard recently — Bryce Nakashima the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
2 meetings · level 1–111
- Nakashima B.September 2026TiburonHard2-6 4-6
- Vandecasteele Q.November 2023M25 Columbus 1Hard6-2 5-7 6-4
Evidence
Vandecasteele Q.Nakashima B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–77–3 (ahead)
Season win rate47% (24–27)69% (20–9) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1598 (ahead)1582
Hard-court ELO1571 (ahead)1568
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 17 matches
1st-serve points won70%75% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)39%
Aces / match5.66.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 49 vs 17 matches
Break points saved59%65% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Quinn Vandecasteele vs Bryce Nakashima — M25 Harlingen Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/nakashima-vs-vandecasteele-m25-harlingen-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).