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Elsa Jacquemot vs Lucrezia Stefanini — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32

Chennai Open - ChennaiR32HardTue 3 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jacquemot E.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Stefanini L.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+84 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Jacquemot E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1611Against the prediction · Jacquemot E.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Stefanini L.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 738
Hard ELO1 644
Last 107–3
Age23
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $857K
ELO1 802
Hard ELO1 707
Last 107–3
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $246K

Elsa Jacquemot faces Lucrezia Stefanini in the Chennai Open - Chennai round of 32 on hard. Lucrezia Stefanini holds the paper edge — ranked #118. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

4 shared · last 12 months

Jacquemot E. and Stefanini L. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jacquemot E. went 0–5 (0%) against them, Stefanini L. 3–1 (75%). Stefanini L. came out better against 3 of 4 comparable opponents, Jacquemot E. against 0 — though 3 of those edges carry caveats (retirement, lower-tier event).

0–50%Jacquemot E. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–175%Stefanini L. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–10Sets5–3
36–65Games37–34
0–1Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets1–0

Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jacquemot E.Stefanini L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate38% (20–33)57% (38–29) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17381802 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16441707 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)55%
Return points won42%48% (ahead)
Aces / match4.3 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 53 vs 56 matches
Break points saved51%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Overcast
Wind11 km/h
Humidity73%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Jacquemot E.Stefanini L.
1Days since last match4 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
119Games · 7 days44 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
119Games · 14 days44 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elsa Jacquemot vs Lucrezia Stefanini — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/jacquemot-vs-stefanini-chennai-open-chennai-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).