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Xinran Sun vs Tereza Valentova — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
VSStrong favourite · Valentova T.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Valentova T.
18%82%

Clear edge for Valentova T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sun X.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Valentova T.6.4/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 600
Hard ELO1 579
Last 108–2
Age56
PlaysRight
ELO1 869
Hard ELO1 769
Last 107–3
Age19
PlaysRight

Xinran Sun faces Tereza Valentova in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Xinran Sun brings the better recent hard form (3 of 4).

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Xinran Sun 3 of 4, Tereza Valentova 2 of 4 on hard recently — Xinran Sun the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Sun X. and Valentova T. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Sun X. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Valentova T. 1–0 (100%).

1–0100%Sun X.Record vs common opponents1–0100%Valentova T.
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–0Sets2–1
14–11Games14–12
1–0Tiebreaks0–0
0–0Deciding sets1–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sun X.Valentova T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate71% (15–6) (ahead)58% (29–21)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16001869 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15791769 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 15 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won59%64% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)46%
Aces / match1.62.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 15 vs 50 matches
Break points saved48%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Drizzle
Wind10 km/h
Humidity67%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Sun X.Valentova T.
1Days since last match5 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
107Games · 7 days37 — fresher
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
107 — fresherGames · 14 days108
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Xinran Sun vs Tereza Valentova — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/sun-vs-valentova-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).