Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

UMPIRY

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardMon 2 Nov · ~15:30Court 1 · After 1 match

Katie VolynetsWTA #81 · USA49%

VSToss-up

Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #112 · BLR51%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Volynets K.6.1/10

Even match

Sasnovich A.5.3/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+38 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Volynets K.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1786Against the prediction · Volynets K.

Recent run2-match win streakSupports Sasnovich A.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Volynets K.

Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players

ELO1 860

Hard ELO1 721

Last 105–5

Age24

Height170 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.1M2026 $566K

ELO1 859

Hard ELO1 766

Last 108–2

Age32

Height174 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $6.8M2026 $379K

Katie Volynets faces Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Katie Volynets is the paper favourite — ranked #81, leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Aliaksandra Sasnovich arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Katie Volynets's 5 of 10.

Key context

Freshness: Katie Volynets comes in with 5 days of rest and 32 games in 14d, vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich's 0 and 197.
Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Aliaksandra Sasnovich rising, Katie Volynets cooling.
Last match: Aliaksandra Sasnovich dropped just 3 games past Carol Young Suh Lee.

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Volynets K. and Sasnovich A. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Volynets K. went 1–4 (20%) against them, Sasnovich A. 3–2 (60%). Sasnovich A. came out better against 2 of 4 comparable opponents, Volynets K. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement, lower-tier event).

1–420%Volynets K. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–260%Sasnovich A. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–8Sets6–5

42–54Games53–54

0–0Tiebreaks0–1

0–0Deciding sets1–1

vs Bartunkova N.#29L4-6 5-7Austin · hardW6-4 6-7(5) 6-3Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · hard
vs Kalinina A.#55L2-6 3-6Rome · clayW5-3Ningbo Open - Ningbo · hard
vs Rakhimova K.#66W6-3 6-0Korea Open - Seoul · hardW6-4 6-4Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · hard

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vs Valentova T.#87L2-6 4-6Miami · hardL3-6 2-6Athens · hard
vs Shnaider D.#13Hard to compareL5-7 5-7Charleston · clayL3-6 7-5 3-6Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · hard

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Volynets K. leads 3–0

Evidence

Volynets K.Sasnovich A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–58–2

Season win rate63% (45–27)60% (40–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18601859

Hard-court ELO17211766

Serve vs returnLast 70 vs 63 matches

1st-serve points won60%65%

Return points won48%46%

Aces / match1.32.8

ClutchLast 70 vs 63 matches

Break points saved55%58%

When it starts

Court 1 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Liu C. v Prozorova T.Starting at 2:00 PM
2This match: Volynets K. v Sasnovich A.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · ~15:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast29°C · Mainly clear

Wind12 km/h

Humidity59%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Volynets K.Sasnovich A.

5Days since last match0

1Matches · 7 days5

32Games · 7 days115

1Matches · 14 days9

32Games · 14 days197

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/sasnovich-vs-volynets-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).