Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander Shevchenko | Bratislava 2 Round of 32

UMPIRY

Bratislava 2R32HardMon 2 Nov · 11:00

Luka PavlovicATP #204 · FRA42%

VSSlight edge · Shevchenko A.

Alexander Shevchenko(5)ATP #109 · KAZ58%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Shevchenko A.

42%58%

Shevchenko A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Pavlovic L.5.2/10

Clear underdog

Shevchenko A.6.2/10

Even match

Why

Surface+179 Hard Elo edgeSupports Shevchenko A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1669Supports Shevchenko A.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 741

Hard ELO1 536

Last 104–6

Age26

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $520K2026 $258K

ELO1 792

Hard ELO1 675

Last 103–7

Age25

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $727K

Luka Pavlovic faces Alexander Shevchenko in the Bratislava 2 round of 32 on hard. Alexander Shevchenko holds the paper edge — ranked #109, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Luka Pavlovic 0 games in 14 days, Alexander Shevchenko 23.
Surface form: Luka Pavlovic 4 of 10, Alexander Shevchenko 3 of 10 on hard recently — Luka Pavlovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Pavlovic L. and Shevchenko A. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Pavlovic L. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Shevchenko A. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Pavlovic L. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Shevchenko A. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets2–1

14–18Games15–13

1–0Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets1–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Muller A.#130L4-6 7-6(6) 3-6Chengdu · hardW3-6 6-3 6-4Gstaad · clay

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pavlovic L.Shevchenko A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–63–7

Season win rate51% (28–27)45% (28–34)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17411792

Hard-court ELO15361675

Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 57 matches

1st-serve points won77%70%

Return points won34%35%

Aces / match9.66.1

ClutchLast 55 vs 57 matches

Break points saved65%62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast9°C · Rain

Wind23 km/h

Humidity93%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Pavlovic L.Shevchenko A.

15Days since last match14

0Matches · 7 days0

0Games · 7 days0

0Matches · 14 days1

0Games · 14 days23

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander Shevchenko — Bratislava 2 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/pavlovic-vs-shevchenko-bratislava-2-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).