Zdenek Kolar vs Elmer Moller | Costa do Sauipe Round of 32

UMPIRY

Costa do SauipeR32ClayMon 2 Nov · 12:00

Zdenek KolarATP #203 · CZE28%

VSClear favourite · Moller E.

Elmer Moller(8)ATP #150 · DEN72%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Moller E.

28%72%

Clear edge for Moller E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kolar Z.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Moller E.6.6/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+108 Clay Elo edgeSupports Moller E.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1609Supports Moller E.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Kolar Z.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative

ELO1 702

Clay ELO1 677

Last 105–5

Age30

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $163K

ELO1 780

Clay ELO1 734

Last 107–3

Age23

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $742K2026 $170K

Zdenek Kolar faces Elmer Moller in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on clay. Elmer Moller is the paper favourite — ranked #150, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Zdenek Kolar has won their only previous meeting.

Key context

Freshness: Zdenek Kolar comes in with 13 days of rest and 27 games in 14d, vs Elmer Moller's 8 and 99.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elmer Moller has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 69 vs 0).
Head-to-head: Zdenek Kolar leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Montemar CH 2025.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Kolar Z. and Moller E. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Kolar Z. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Moller E. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Kolar Z. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Moller E. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets1–2

12–15Games14–17

0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Wong C.#87L5-7 6-2 1-6Roland Garros · clayL7-5 3-6 4-6US Open · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Kolar Z. leads 1–0

Kolar Z.November 2025Montemar CHClay6-3 6-1

Evidence

Kolar Z.Moller E.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate46% (27–32)49% (25–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17021780

Clay-court ELO16771734

Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 46 matches

1st-serve points won66%62%

Return points won40%43%

Aces / match2.31.9

ClutchLast 57 vs 46 matches

Break points saved54%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast29°C · Drizzle

Wind17 km/h

Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Kolar Z.Moller E.

13Days since last match8

0Matches · 7 days0

0Games · 7 days0

1Matches · 14 days4

27Games · 14 days99

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Zdenek Kolar vs Elmer Moller — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/kolar-vs-moller-costa-do-sauipe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).