Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moller — US Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
HKG
Coleman Wong
#94ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 4th on
DEN
Elmer Moller
#170ATP
1609ELO
1484Hard ELO
$155kYTD
$727kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Wong C.
5-7 6-3 6-4
Moller E.
Wong C.
5662
Moller E.
7341

Coleman Wong defeated Elmer Moller in the first round of US Open qualifying, 5-7, 6-3, 6-4. Wong hit 13 aces to Moller's one and had an 86% first-serve win percentage, compared to Moller's 61%. Wong converted 20% of break points and won three service breaks to Moller's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Wong C.Moller E.
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
54%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Wong C.Moller E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
25
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
81
Break points won·Dominant
11
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
81
Tiebreaks·Even
82
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Wong C.67%
Moller E.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Wong C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wong C.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Moller E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1484
4.9Overall Elo 1602
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1609
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Wong C.Moller E.
Freshness·Clear edge
61
81

Wong C.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d) · Moller E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw