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Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR64HardMon 2 Nov · 15:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Machac T.
38%62%

Machac T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jacquet K.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Machac T.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+166 Hard Elo edgeSupports Machac T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1866Supports Machac T.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Machac T.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Machac T.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Jacquet K.
ELO1 879
Hard ELO1 712
Last 106–4
Age25
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $503K
ELO1 966
Hard ELO1 832
Last 107–3
Age26
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $6.8M2026 $862K

Kyrian Jacquet faces Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Tomas Machac holds the paper edge — ranked #71, a roughly 170-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Jacquet K. and Machac T. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jacquet K. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Machac T. 1–1 (50%).

0–20%Jacquet K. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Machac T. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–6Sets2–3
39–49Games24–24
1–2Tiebreaks0–1
0–1Deciding sets1–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jacquet K.Machac T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate64% (36–20) (ahead)55% (23–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18791966 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17121832 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)69%
Return points won38% (ahead)37%
Aces / match5.9 (ahead)5.0
ClutchLast 55 vs 40 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast11°C · Rain
Wind11 km/h
Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Jacquet K.Machac T.
10 — fresherDays since last match1
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
0 — fresherGames · 7 days45
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
78 — fresherGames · 14 days110
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/jacquet-vs-machac-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).