Chun Chien Hou vs Kaichi Uchida | Taipei Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

TaipeiQ16QualifyingHardMon 2 Nov · ~13:00CENTER COURT · After 2 matches

Chun Chien HouTPE54%

VSToss-up

Kaichi UchidaATP #420 · JPN46%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Hou C.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Uchida K.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 531

Hard ELO1 528

Last 107–3

Age20

ELO1 606

Hard ELO1 580

Last 104–6

Age32

Chun Chien Hou faces Kaichi Uchida in the Taipei qualifying round of 16 on hard. Chun Chien Hou brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Chun Chien Hou advanced when Alibek Kachmazov retired.
Last match: Kaichi Uchida advanced when Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni retired.
Fatigue load: Chun Chien Hou carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hou C.Uchida K.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate69% (9–4)24% (9–28)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15311606

Hard-court ELO15281580

Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 35 matches

1st-serve points won71%70%

Return points won38%32%

Aces / match2.54.9

ClutchLast 4 vs 35 matches

Break points saved66%56%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 2 matches · Followed by

1Zhu E. v Shimizu Y.Starts at 10:00
2Watanuki Y. v Kang Leong M.Followed by
3This match: Hou C. v Uchida K.This match
4Michalski D. v Holmgren A.Not before 14:00
5Schwaerzler J. v Kumstat J.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · ~13:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast27°C · Drizzle

Wind12 km/h

Humidity73%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Chun Chien Hou vs Kaichi Uchida — Taipei Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/hou-vs-uchida-taipei-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).