UMPIRY
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Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui — Ningboo Round of 16

NingbooR16HardThu 29 Oct · 10:00 UTCCENTER COURT · After 2 matches
VSClear favourite · Schoolkate T.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Schoolkate T.
74%26%

Clear edge for Schoolkate T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Schoolkate T.7.1/10
Strong advantage
Cui J.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+161 Hard Elo edgeSupports Schoolkate T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1549Supports Schoolkate T.
Recent run6-match win streakSupports Schoolkate T.
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Cui J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Cui J.
ELO1 816
Hard ELO1 718
Last 107–3
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $322K
ELO1 669
Hard ELO1 611
Last 106–4
Age28
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $237K2026 $25K

Tristan Schoolkate faces Jie Cui in the Ningboo round of 16 on hard. Tristan Schoolkate is the paper favourite — ranked #141, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Jie Cui has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Cui J. leads 2–1
12

Evidence

Schoolkate T.Cui J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate57% (38–29) (ahead)46% (16–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1816 (ahead)1669
Hard-court ELO1718 (ahead)1611
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 34 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)70%
Return points won35%36% (ahead)
Aces / match8.6 (ahead)4.6
ClutchLast 62 vs 34 matches
Break points saved62%63% (ahead)

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 2 matches · Not before 6:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Schoolkate T.Cui J.
1Days since last match1
4Matches · 7 days4
110Games · 7 days99 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days6
160Games · 14 days139 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui — Ningboo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/cui-vs-schoolkate-ningboo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).