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Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun — Ningboo Round of 16

NingbooR16HardThu 29 Oct · 05:30 UTCCENTER COURT · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bar Biryukov P.5.9/10
Even match
Sun F.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+55 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sun F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1496Supports Sun F.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Bar Biryukov P.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Bar Biryukov P.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 673
Hard ELO1 659
Last 104–6
Age24
Height196 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $143K2026 $40K
ELO1 685
Hard ELO1 646
Last 105–5
Age30
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $530K2026 $69K

Petr Bar Biryukov faces Fajing Sun in the Ningboo round of 16 on hard. Fajing Sun is the paper favourite — ranked #292, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage — but Petr Bar Biryukov has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Bar Biryukov P. and Sun F. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Bar Biryukov P. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Sun F. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Bar Biryukov P. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Sun F. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–1Sets0–2
3–6Games2–12

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Bar Biryukov P. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Bar Biryukov P.Sun F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (36–28) (ahead)52% (31–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16731685 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1659 (ahead)1646
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)70%
Return points won32%38% (ahead)
Aces / match9.6 (ahead)3.6
ClutchLast 56 vs 59 matches
Break points saved63%63%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · Next on · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bar Biryukov P.Sun F.
1Days since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
36 — fresherGames · 7 days63
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
53 — fresherGames · 14 days81
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun — Ningboo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/biryukov-vs-sun-ningboo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).