Alycia Parks vs Kimberly Birrell — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16
Why
Surface+112 Hard Elo edgeSupports Birrell K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1754Supports Birrell K.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Parks A.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Birrell K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 750
Hard ELO1 657
Last 105–5
Age25
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $1.1M
ELO1 833
Hard ELO1 741
Last 107–3
Age28
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.2M2026 $1.1M
Alycia Parks faces Kimberly Birrell in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 16 on hard. Kimberly Birrell is the paper favourite — ranked #41, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage — but Alycia Parks rides a 3-match win streak.
Key context
- Freshness: Alycia Parks comes in with 0 days of rest and 131 games in 14d, vs Kimberly Birrell's 1 and 72.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Alycia Parks grades 25 on serve, Kimberly Birrell 38 on return.
- Surface form: Alycia Parks 5 of 10, Kimberly Birrell 7 of 10 on hard recently — Kimberly Birrell the sharper of late.
Common opponents
7 shared · last 12 monthsParks A. and Birrell K. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Parks A. went 1–9 (10%) against them, Birrell K. 6–7 (46%). Birrell K. came out better against 3 of 7 comparable opponents, Parks A. against 1.
1–910%Parks A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents6–746%Birrell K. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–19Sets17–15
91–142Games158–149
1–1Tiebreaks3–3
1–4Deciding sets3–3
vs Li A.#31L2-6 7-6 3-6Madrid · clayL2-6 6-2 3-6Miami · hard
vs Golubic V.#74L2-6 2-6Cincinnati · hardL6-7(7) 4-6Toronto · hard- vs Volynets K.#81L6-7(5) 0-6Dubai · hardL6-2 4-6Nottingham · grass
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Marcinko P.#88W2-6 6-4 6-4Monterrey · hardW3-6 7-6(4) 6-3US Open · hard
vs Selekhmeteva O.#120L4-6 6-3 3-6Austin · hardW6-1 6-4Indian Wells · hard
vs Inglis M.#130L7-5 4-6 4-6London · grassL6-7 7-6 4-6Australian Open · hard
vs Ito A.#300L4-6 1-6Wuhan · hardW6-1 6-1Beijing · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Parks A.Birrell K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate49% (32–33)53% (31–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17501833 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16571741 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 64 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)64%
Return points won41%44% (ahead)
Aces / match6.3 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 64 vs 55 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)53%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Alycia Parks vs Kimberly Birrell — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/birrell-vs-parks-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).