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Lucrezia Stefanini vs Isabella Maria Serban — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00 UTC
Lucrezia Stefanini(4)WTA #118 · ITA72%
VSClear favourite · Stefanini L.
Isabella Maria SerbanWTA #465 · ROU28%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Stefanini L.
72%28%

Clear edge for Stefanini L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Stefanini L.7.4/10
Dominant favourite
Serban I.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface+282 Hard Elo edgeSupports Stefanini L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1527Supports Stefanini L.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 806
Hard ELO1 710
Last 107–3
Age28
ELO1 605
Hard ELO1 531
Last 104–6
Age20

Lucrezia Stefanini faces Isabella Maria Serban in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 32 on hard. Lucrezia Stefanini holds the paper edge — ranked #118, a roughly 280-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Lucrezia Stefanini comes in with 10 days of rest and 66 games in 14d, vs Isabella Maria Serban's 15 and 0.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Stefanini L.Serban I.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate57% (37–28) (ahead)50% (17–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1806 (ahead)1605
Hard-court ELO1710 (ahead)1531
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won55%58% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)46%
Aces / match0.21.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 54 vs 30 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Stefanini L.Serban I.
10Days since last match15 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
3Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
66Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lucrezia Stefanini vs Isabella Maria Serban — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/serban-vs-stefanini-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).