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Marina Bassols Ribera vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bassols Ribera M.
67%33%

Clear edge for Bassols Ribera M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bassols Ribera M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Jimenez Kasintseva V.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+67 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1610Supports Bassols Ribera M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 756
Hard ELO1 617
Last 106–4
Age26
Height165 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $335K
ELO1 677
Hard ELO1 613
Last 103–7
Age21
Height180 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $389K

Marina Bassols Ribera faces Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 32 on hard. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Marina Bassols Ribera arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva's 2 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Bassols Ribera M. and Jimenez Kasintseva V. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bassols Ribera M. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Jimenez Kasintseva V. 0–2 (0%).

0–20%Bassols Ribera M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–20%Jimenez Kasintseva V. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–4Sets1–4
19–28Games15–24
0–1Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

4 meetings · Jimenez Kasintseva V. leads 3–1
13

Hard: Jimenez Kasintseva V. leads 1–0 · Clay: Jimenez Kasintseva V. leads 2–1

Evidence

Bassols Ribera M.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate57% (31–23) (ahead)38% (15–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1756 (ahead)1677
Hard-court ELO1617 (ahead)1613
Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won59% (ahead)56%
Return points won47% (ahead)44%
Aces / match0.61.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 53 vs 39 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)54%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marina Bassols Ribera vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/kasintseva-vs-ribera-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).