Shuai Zhang vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva — Merida Quarter-final

Merida · WTA · Quarter-final
Shuai Zhang
CHN
Shuai Zhang
#64WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
AND
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
#110WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLL
Zhang S.
6-1 6-3
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Zhang S.
662
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
130

Shuai Zhang defeated Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-1 6-3 in the Merida quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Shuai Zhang came in ranked #64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang S.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Jimenez Kasintseva V.

Jimenez Kasintseva V.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang S.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
17
Serve
0
58
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Zhang S.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zhang S.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
52
Break points saved·Dominant
55
82
Break points won·Slight edge
83
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
26
Tiebreaks·Even
82
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhang S.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1579
6.5Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1599
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
1.1
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zhang S.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Freshness·Even
96
99

Zhang S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw

Final
Bucsa C.
Frech M.
6-14-66-4
Semi-finals
Frech M.
Zhang S.
6-26-766-3
Bucsa C.
Paolini J.[1]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Paolini J.[1]
Boulter K.
0-66-36-3
Zhang S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-3
Frech M.
Bouzkova M.[4]
6-34-66-3
Bucsa C.
Sonmez Z.
6-36-4
R16
Bouzkova M.[4]
Arango E.
2-66-12-0
Frech M.
Bouzas Maneiro J.[7]
6-06-3
Bucsa C.
Stakusic M.
7-616-3
Boulter K.
Osorio C.
6-30-0
Zhang S.
Navarro E.[2]
6-46-4
Sonmez Z.
Li A.[3]
3-67-676-4
Paolini J.[1]
Hon P.
6-06-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Linette M.[8]
5-77-657-5
R32
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.
6-36-2
Boulter K.
Haddad Maia B.
6-46-4
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Putintseva Y.
6-41-66-4
Zhang S.
Lepchenko V.
6-26-1
Stakusic M.
Yastremska D.[5]
6-46-3
Linette M.[8]
Maria T.
7-636-3
Hon P.
Zarazua R.
6-22-66-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.[7]
Watson H.
6-36-1
Osorio C.
Tjen J.[6]
6-46-3
Arango E.
Potapova A.
7-606-2
Frech M.
Timofeeva M.
6-47-66
Sonmez Z.
Brace C.
6-26-0