Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka | Brest Round of 32

UMPIRY

BrestR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00

Hugo Gaston(1)ATP #93 · FRA63%

VSSlight edge · Gaston H.

Daniil GlinkaATP #156 · EST37%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Gaston H.

63%37%

Gaston H. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Gaston H.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Glinka D.5.6/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+137 Hard Elo edgeSupports Gaston H.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1622Supports Gaston H.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Gaston H.

Recent runLost last 2Both players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 830

Hard ELO1 706

Last 105–5

Age26

Height173 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $4.2M2026 $566K

ELO1 737

Hard ELO1 681

Last 106–4

Age26

Height188 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $307K2026 $170K

Hugo Gaston faces Daniil Glinka in the Brest round of 32 on hard. Hugo Gaston holds the paper edge — ranked #93, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Hugo Gaston comes in with 5 days of rest and 77 games in 14d, vs Daniil Glinka's 8 and 54.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Hugo Gaston has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 60 vs 23).
Head-to-head: Hugo Gaston leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Thionville CH 2026.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Gaston H. and Glinka D. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Gaston H. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Glinka D. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Gaston H.Record vs common opponents0–10%Glinka D.

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets0–2

9–13Games3–12

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs van Assche L.#48Hard to compareL4-6 5-7Estoril · clayL3-6 0-6Australian Open · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Gaston H. leads 1–0

Gaston H.March 2026Thionville CHHard6-3 4-2

Evidence

Gaston H.Glinka D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate53% (34–30)53% (34–30)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18301737

Hard-court ELO17061681

Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 62 matches

1st-serve points won68%71%

Return points won40%38%

Aces / match2.65.7

ClutchLast 58 vs 62 matches

Break points saved60%59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast15°C · Clear

Wind17 km/h

Humidity72%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Gaston H.Glinka D.

5Days since last match8

1Matches · 7 days0

15Games · 7 days0

4Matches · 14 days2

77Games · 14 days54

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka — Brest Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/gaston-vs-glinka-brest-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).