Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka — Ningboo Round of 32
Why
Surface+142 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Sun F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1496Against the prediction · Sun F.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Sun F.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Matsuoka H.
ELO1 681
Hard ELO1 643
Last 105–5
Age30
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $530K2026 $69K
ELO1 660
Hard ELO1 627
Last 104–6
Age21
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $89K2026 $39K
Fajing Sun faces Hayato Matsuoka in the Ningboo round of 32 on hard. Fajing Sun holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Fajing Sun 71 games in 14 days, Hayato Matsuoka 84.
- Head-to-head: Fajing Sun leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at Astana 2026.
- Surface form: Fajing Sun 5 of 10, Hayato Matsuoka 4 of 10 on hard recently — Fajing Sun the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
3 meetings · Sun F. leads 2–121
- Matsuoka H.August 2026AstanaHard5-7 5-7
- Sun F.January 2026Nonthaburi 1 CHHard6-2 2-6 6-2
- Sun F.October 2025M25 Qian Daohu 1Hard3-6 6-2 6-0
Evidence
Sun F.Matsuoka H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate51% (30–29)53% (31–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1681 (ahead)1660
Hard-court ELO1643 (ahead)1627
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)70%
Return points won38%39% (ahead)
Aces / match3.63.6
ClutchLast 58 vs 55 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)54%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka — Ningboo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/matsuoka-vs-sun-ningboo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).