Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka — Astana Quarter-final
CHN5
JPN4
Sun F.
Hayato Matsuoka defeated Fajing Sun in the quarterfinals of the Astana tournament, winning 7-5, 7-5 on hard courts. Matsuoka hit 10 aces to Sun's 4 and won 82% of his first-serve points, compared to Sun's 69%. Matsuoka converted 38% of break points, while Sun converted all of his, but Matsuoka secured 3 service breaks to Sun's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Hayato Matsuoka edged Fajing Sun in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | M25 Qian Daohu 1 | QF | hard | Fajing Sun | 3-6 6-2 6-0 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSun F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Matsuoka H.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About