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Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan Smith — Ningboo Round of 32

NingbooR32HardMon 26 Oct · 03:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
51%49%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hsu Y.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Smith K.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+74 Hard Elo edgeSupports Hsu Y.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1488Supports Hsu Y.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches4 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Hsu Y.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 702
Hard ELO1 680
Last 107–3
Age27
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $899K2026 $123K
ELO1 703
Hard ELO1 656
Last 106–4
Age28
Height201 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $255K2026 $108K

Yu Hsiou Hsu faces Keegan Smith in the Ningboo round of 32 on hard. Keegan Smith holds the paper edge — ranked #196. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Hsu Y. and Smith K. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Hsu Y. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Smith K. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Hsu Y. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Smith K. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
1–2Sets0–2
14–16Games9–13
0–0Tiebreaks0–1
0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hsu Y.Smith K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate50% (22–22)55% (35–29) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17021703 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1680 (ahead)1656
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 63 matches
1st-serve points won67%72% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)34%
Aces / match3.17.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 40 vs 63 matches
Break points saved60%67% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hsu Y.Smith K.
4 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
18 — fresherGames · 7 days77
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
18 — fresherGames · 14 days161
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan Smith — Ningboo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/hsu-vs-smith-ningboo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).