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Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR32HardMon 26 Oct · ~17:00 UTCGrandstand · After 1 match
Rositsa DenchevaWTA #195 · BUL45%
VSToss-up
Gabriela Andrea KnutsonWTA #164 · CZE55%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dencheva R.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Knutson G.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+127 Hard Elo edgeSupports Knutson G.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1518Supports Knutson G.
Recent run7-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Dencheva R.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Knutson G.
ELO1 717
Hard ELO1 552
Last 106–4
Age19
EarningsCareer $81K2026 $50K
ELO1 720
Hard ELO1 680
Last 107–3
Age29
EarningsCareer $486K2026 $148K

Rositsa Dencheva faces Gabriela Andrea Knutson in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 32 on hard. Gabriela Andrea Knutson is the paper favourite — ranked #164, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage — but Rositsa Dencheva has won their only previous meeting.

Key context

  • Win streak: Rositsa Dencheva arrives on a 7-match winning run.
  • Head-to-head: Rositsa Dencheva leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W25 Sozopol 2022.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Dencheva R. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Dencheva R.Knutson G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate76% (41–13) (ahead)54% (32–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17171720 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15521680 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won58%66% (ahead)
Return points won52% (ahead)43%
Aces / match0.33.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 52 vs 59 matches
Break points saved49%54% (ahead)

When it starts

Grandstand · After 1 match · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/dencheva-vs-knutson-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).