UMPIRY
EN

Lisa Zaar vs Ayla Aksu — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32

Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - CourmayeurR32HardMon 26 Oct · ~15:30 UTCGrandstand · Next on
Lisa ZaarWTA #283 · SWE45%
VSToss-up
Ayla AksuWTA #159 · TUR55%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zaar L.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Aksu A.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+119 Hard Elo edgeSupports Aksu A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1527Against the prediction · Zaar L.
Recent run5-match win streakSupports Aksu A.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Aksu A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 665
Hard ELO1 552
Last 106–4
Age26
EarningsCareer $111K2026 $39K
ELO1 665
Hard ELO1 610
Last 106–4
Age30
EarningsCareer $286K2026 $98K

Lisa Zaar faces Ayla Aksu in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 32 on hard. Ayla Aksu holds the paper edge — ranked #159, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zaar L.Aksu A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate61% (38–24) (ahead)57% (29–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16651665
Hard-court ELO15521610 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won56%61% (ahead)
Return points won52% (ahead)46%
Aces / match0.11.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 59 vs 48 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)53%

When it starts

Grandstand · Next on · Not before 4:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zaar L.Aksu A.
13Days since last match15 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
1Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
19Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lisa Zaar vs Ayla Aksu — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/aksu-vs-zaar-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).