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Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate — Guangzhou Final

GuangzhouFinalHardSun 25 Oct · 11:00CENTER COURTLive
Odds

No breaks in the 3rd

Coleman Wong faces Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou final on hard. Coleman Wong holds the paper edge — ranked #92, leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Live Win Probability

i
LIVE
—Wong C.
—Schoolkate T.
Coleman WongTristan Schoolkate
Serve flowWong C. broken 3 times · Schoolkate T. broken 4 times.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Wong C.
9/12Schoolkate T.
7/11
Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsWong C.Schoolkate T.
EvenWong C.Schoolkate T.
Swinging toSchoolkate T.19
6Last 12 points6
12Last 3 games10
4/9Break points3/4
30 pointsNow

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Wong C.Schoolkate T.
Serve
  • 14Aces10
  • 1Double faults6
  • 77%1st serve points won67%
  • 75% · 9/12Service games held64% · 7/11
Return
  • 44%Break points won75%
  • 4Breaks of serve3

Key moments

Latest first
  1. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 12Wong C. held to love
  2. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 11Schoolkate T. held to love
  3. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 10Wong C. held to love
  4. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 4Wong C. held to love
  5. BREAKSet 2 · Game 3Wong C. broke serve
  6. BREAKSet 2 · Game 2Schoolkate T. broke serve
  7. SETSet 1 · Game 10Wong C. took the set
  8. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 10Wong C. held to love
  9. BREAKSet 1 · Game 9Wong C. broke serve
  10. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 7Schoolkate T. held to love
  11. BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Schoolkate T. broke serve
  12. BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Wong C. broke serve
  13. BREAKSet 1 · Game 2Schoolkate T. broke serve
  14. BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Wong C. broke serve
Pre-match context

Wong C. came in with the higher hard rating (1792 vs 1710), the better recent record (8–2 vs 5–5) and the head-to-head lead (3–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
65%35%
Umpiry Score
6.0/10/104.4
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 884
Hard ELO1 792
Last 108–2
Age22
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $400K
ELO1 810
Hard ELO1 710
Last 105–5
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $322K

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Wong C. and Schoolkate T. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Wong C. went 3–2 (60%) against them, Schoolkate T. 2–1 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

3–260%Wong C. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–167%Schoolkate T. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–4Sets4–2
66–53Games30–27
0–2Tiebreaks1–0
0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Wong C. leads 3–0
30

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · Clutch
ShowHide
Wong C.Schoolkate T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate60% (46–31) (ahead)55% (36–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1884 (ahead)1810
Hard-court ELO1792 (ahead)1710
Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won75%75%
Return points won35%35%
Aces / match10.5 (ahead)8.6
ClutchLast 65 vs 60 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)61%

Draw

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Weather28°C · Overcast
Wind10 km/h
Humidity51%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Match info

  • Started11:00 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Wong C.Schoolkate T.
1Days since last match1
4Matches · 7 days3 — fresher
94Games · 7 days86 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days4
94 — fresherGames · 14 days108
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate — Guangzhou Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/schoolkate-vs-wong-guangzhou-f?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).