Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley — Vienna Qualifying Round of 8
Why
Surface+137 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Sonego L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1719Against the prediction · Sonego L.
This eventReached qualifying here last yearSupports Fearnley J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 876
Hard ELO1 755
Last 103–7
Age31
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.3M2026 $981K
ELO1 890
Hard ELO1 737
Last 107–3
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $611K
Lorenzo Sonego faces Jacob Fearnley in the Vienna qualifying round of 8 on hard. Jacob Fearnley holds the paper edge — ranked #87, defending last year's round of 32.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Lorenzo Sonego 23 games in 14 days, Jacob Fearnley 130.
- Under pressure: Jacob Fearnley has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 85 vs Lorenzo Sonego's 36).
- Surface form: Lorenzo Sonego 3 of 8, Jacob Fearnley 6 of 8 on hard recently — Jacob Fearnley the sharper of late.
Common opponents
4 shared · last 12 monthsSonego L. and Fearnley J. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Sonego L. went 2–2 (50%) against them, Fearnley J. 1–3 (25%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 0 better-results split).
2–250%Sonego L. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–325%Fearnley J. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–6Sets5–8
64–64Games62–73
2–2Tiebreaks2–2
0–0Deciding sets0–1
Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
vs Fritz T.#14L6-4 3-6 4-6 6-7Wimbledon · grassL3-6 7-6 1-6Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Etcheverry T.#29W6-4 6-4 6-7 7-6Wimbledon · grassL3-6 3-6 6-3 3-6US Open · hard
vs Majchrzak K.#78L5-7 2-6Tokyo · hardL6-7 5-7 6-3 6-7Australian Open · hard
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vs Mannarino A.#79W6-1 7-6(5)Winston-Salem · hardW7-6(3) 6-4Montreal · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Sonego L.Fearnley J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–77–3 (ahead)
Season win rate40% (14–21)60% (37–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18761890 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1755 (ahead)1737
Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)71%
Return points won33%40% (ahead)
Aces / match7.9 (ahead)5.0
ClutchLast 35 vs 59 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)57%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley — Vienna Qualifying Round of 8", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/fearnley-vs-sonego-vienna-q8?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).