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Elena Pridankina vs Tyra Caterina Grant — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouQ32QualifyingHardSat 24 Oct · 12:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Pridankina E.
59%41%

Pridankina E. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pridankina E.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Grant T.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+44 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Grant T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1672Against the prediction · Grant T.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 764
Hard ELO1 644
Last 105–5
Age21
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $625K2026 $297K
ELO1 732
Hard ELO1 553
Last 102–8
Age18
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $441K2026 $264K

Elena Pridankina faces Tyra Caterina Grant in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou qualifying round of 32 on hard. Tyra Caterina Grant is the paper favourite — ranked #152, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Elena Pridankina arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 7 on hard to Tyra Caterina Grant's 1 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Pridankina E. and Grant T. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Pridankina E. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Grant T. 0–2 (0%).

1–150%Pridankina E. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–20%Grant T. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–2Sets1–4
15–15Games19–29
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pridankina E.Grant T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate58% (30–22)65% (28–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1764 (ahead)1732
Hard-court ELO1644 (ahead)1553
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won62%66% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)45%
Aces / match1.62.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 52 vs 42 matches
Break points saved54%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity44%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Pridankina E.Grant T.
16 — fresherDays since last match6
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days19
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
0 — fresherGames · 14 days50
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elena Pridankina vs Tyra Caterina Grant — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/grant-vs-pridankina-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).