Tyra Caterina Grant vs Himeno SakatsumeUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#149WTA
1672ELO
1544Hard ELO
18 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 8 · 2nd on
#144WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLL
Caterina Grant T.
7-5 2-6 3-6
Sakatsume H.
Caterina Grant T.
7231
Sakatsume H.
5662

Himeno Sakatsume defeated Tyra Caterina Grant in the US Open qualifying 64 round. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-2, 6-3 in favor of Sakatsume. Sakatsume hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, while Grant hit 5 aces and 8 double faults; Sakatsume won 57% of her first-serve points and converted 56% of break points, compared to Grant's 53% and 30%, respectively; Sakatsume and Grant each secured 9 and 7 service breaks, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Caterina Grant T.48%
Sakatsume H.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1544
Surface ELO
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
69

Caterina Grant T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Sakatsume H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw