Joanna Garland vs Maddison Inglis | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouQ32QualifyingHardSat 24 Oct · 15:30

Joanna GarlandWTA #160 · TPE50%

VSToss-up

Maddison InglisWTA #133 · AUS50%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Garland J.6.0/10

Even match

Inglis M.6.2/10

Even match

What we know

Surface+13 Hard Elo edgeFavours Inglis M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1590Favours Inglis M.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardFavours Garland J.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 781

Hard ELO1 694

Last 108–2

Age25

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $552K2026 $147K

ELO1 794

Hard ELO1 731

Last 106–4

Age28

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.9M2026 $432K

Joanna Garland faces Maddison Inglis in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou qualifying round of 32 on hard. Maddison Inglis is the paper favourite — ranked #133 — but Joanna Garland has won their only previous meeting. Joanna Garland brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

Serve & return: Joanna Garland leads on Serve Rating (59), Maddison Inglis on Return Rating (7).
Head-to-head: Joanna Garland leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W60 Playford 2023.
Surface form: Joanna Garland 8 of 10, Maddison Inglis 6 of 10 on hard recently — Joanna Garland the sharper of late.

Common opponents

4 shared · last 12 months

Garland J. and Inglis M. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Garland J. went 2–2 (50%) against them, Inglis M. 2–2 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

2–250%Garland J. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–250%Inglis M. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

5–5Sets4–6

52–51Games45–56

1–0Tiebreaks2–1

2–1Deciding sets2–0

Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Birrell K.#41L7-6 3-6 5-7Chennai · hardW7-6 6-7 6-4Australian Open · hard
vs Romero Gormaz L.#129W4-6 6-4 7-5US Open · hardW4-6 7-6(4) 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Hunter S.#151W6-3 5-7 6-1Singapore · hardL3-6 0-6US Open · hard

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vs Montgomery R.#155L3-6s Hertogenbosch · grassL1-6 5-7Roland Garros · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Garland J. leads 1–0

Garland J.October 2023W60 PlayfordHard6-3 6-4

Evidence

Garland J.Inglis M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate59% (19–13)53% (17–15)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17811794

Hard-court ELO16941731

Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 29 matches

1st-serve points won68%64%

Return points won40%41%

Aces / match3.52.0

ClutchLast 32 vs 29 matches

Break points saved63%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast31°C · Mainly clear

Wind12 km/h

Humidity38%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Joanna Garland vs Maddison Inglis — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/garland-vs-inglis-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).