Joanna Garland vs Leyre Romero GormazUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#201WTA
1536ELO
1546Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 10 · 1st on
#145WTA
1616ELO
1526Hard ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Garland J.
4-6 6-4 7-5
Romero Gormaz L.
Garland J.
4672
Romero Gormaz L.
6451

Joanna Garland defeated Leyre Romero Gormaz in the first round of US Open qualifying, 4-6, 6-4, 7-5. Garland served 4 aces and committed 10 double faults, while converting 17% of break points and winning 72% of first-serve points. The match saw Garland secure 3 service breaks to Romero Gormaz's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Garland J.51%
Romero Gormaz L.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+19 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1526
4.0Overall Elo 1536
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
85

Garland J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d) · Romero Gormaz L.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw