Kayla Day vs Shuai Zhang — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Qualifying Round of 32
Why
Surface+119 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Zhang S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1718Against the prediction · Zhang S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Zhang S.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 784
Hard ELO1 683
Last 107–3
Age27
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $261K
ELO1 812
Hard ELO1 715
Last 104–6
Age37
Height177 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $14.0M2026 $2.1M
Kayla Day faces Shuai Zhang in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Shuai Zhang is the paper favourite — ranked #85, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage — but Kayla Day arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Shuai Zhang's 4 of 10.
Key context
- Freshness: Kayla Day comes in with 1 days of rest and 75 games in 14d, vs Shuai Zhang's 3 and 40.
- Surface form: Kayla Day 7 of 10, Shuai Zhang 4 of 10 on hard recently — Kayla Day the sharper of late.
- Head-to-head: Shuai Zhang leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Cincinnati 2026.
Common opponents
2 shared · last 12 monthsDay K. and Zhang S. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Day K. went 2–0 (100%) against them, Zhang S. 1–1 (50%).
2–0100%Day K. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–150%Zhang S. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–1Sets3–2
28–19Games25–21
1–0Deciding sets0–1
Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.
vs Parry D.#34W3-6 6-3 7-5Toronto · hardW6-2 7-5Strasbourg · clay
vs Preston T.#87W6-3 6-2Cincinnati · hardL3-6 6-2 3-6Australian Open · hard
Evidence
Day K.Zhang S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate70% (46–20) (ahead)44% (22–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17841812 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16831715 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)61%
Return points won46% (ahead)42%
Aces / match3.9 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 63 vs 48 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)56%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Kayla Day vs Shuai Zhang — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/day-vs-zhang-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).