Diane Parry vs Kayla DayToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#60WTA
1747ELO
1653Hard ELO
$515kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#127WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLLWL
Parry D.
vs
Day K.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Parry D.49%
Day K.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Parry D. 2–1 · Day K. 1–2 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Grass)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1576
6.9Overall Elo 1747
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1595
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 43 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
47%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Parry D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Day K.

Day K.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Serve advantage — Day K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
32
39
Break points saved·Dominant
39
66
Break points won·Dominant
13
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
39
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
76

Parry D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Day K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw