Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate — Guangzhou Quarter-final
Why
Surface+120 Hard Elo edgeSupports Schoolkate T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1549Supports Schoolkate T.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Schoolkate T.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 702
Hard ELO1 656
Last 106–4
Age28
Height201 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $255K2026 $108K
ELO1 803
Hard ELO1 701
Last 105–5
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $322K
Keegan Smith faces Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou quarter-final on hard. Tristan Schoolkate holds the paper edge — ranked #169, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Keegan Smith comes in with 2 days of rest and 107 games in 14d, vs Tristan Schoolkate's 2 and 50.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Tristan Schoolkate has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 46 vs 26).
- Last match: Keegan Smith dropped the opening set before beating Fajing Sun 3–6 6–4 7–6.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Smith K.Schoolkate T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate56% (35–28) (ahead)54% (34–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17021803 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16561701 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won72%74% (ahead)
Return points won35%36% (ahead)
Aces / match7.88.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 62 vs 58 matches
Break points saved68% (ahead)61%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate — Guangzhou Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/schoolkate-vs-smith-guangzhou-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).