UMPIRY
EN

Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun — Guangzhou Round of 16

GuangzhouR16HardThu 22 Oct · 12:00Final2h 15m
Keegan Smith(7)ATP #196 · USA
Fajing SunATP #296 · CHN
SetsGames2
3677
1
6463

Keegan Smith advanced to the quarterfinals of the Guangzhou tournament with a three-set win over Fajing Sun in the Round of 16. Smith prevailed 3-6, 6-4, 7-6. In the match, Smith hit 12 aces to Sun's 5 and won 78 percent of his first-serve points to Sun's 70 percent.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Smith K. came through in three sets, with two breaks of serve.

  • Breaks of serveSmith K. 2 · Sun F. 3
  • 1st-serve points wonSmith K. 78% · Sun F. 70%
  • AcesSmith K. 12 · Sun F. 5

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 11–2BreakSun F. · Broke, stayed a break up
  2. Set 13–5Break backSmith K. · Broke back
  3. Set 13–6SetSun F. · Broke to take the set
  4. Set 24–3BreakSmith K. · Broke, never broken back

Win probability during the match

i
100%Smith K.
0%Sun F.
Final · 3–6 6–4 7–6
1–01–11–21–32–32–42–53–53–60–11–11–22–22–33–34–35–35–46–40–11–11–22–22–33–33–44–44–55–55–66–67–6S1 · 3–6S2 · 6–4Set 3 · 7–6Set 2 · 6–4Set 1 · 3–6
  1. Break by Sun F.
  2. Break by Sun F.
  3. Break by Smith K.
  4. Break by Sun F.
  5. Set won by Sun F.
  6. Break by Smith K.
  7. Set won by Smith K.
  8. Set won by Smith K.
Keegan SmithFajing Sun
Recorded during the match
Serve flowSmith K. broken 3 times · Sun F. broken twice.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Smith K.
13/16Sun F.
13/15
Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Whole matchSmith K.Sun F.
EvenSmith K.Sun F.
Late momentumSmith K.60
9Last 12 points3
10Last 3 games5
2/4Break points3/4

Break of serve

Match statistics

Smith K.Sun F.
Serve
  • 12Aces5
  • 4Double faults3
  • 68% · 64/941st serve %68% · 66/97
  • 78%1st serve points won70%
  • 50% · 15/302nd serve points won55% · 17/31
  • 69% · 65/94Service points won65% · 63/97
  • 81% · 13/16Service games held87% · 13/15
  • 25% · 1/4Break points saved50% · 2/4
Return
  • 35% · 34/97Return points won31% · 29/94
  • 30% · 20/661st return points won22% · 14/64
  • 45% · 14/312nd return points won50% · 15/30
  • 50%Break points won75%
  • 2Breaks of serve3
Points
  • 99Total points won92
  • 6Most points in a row5
  • 3Most games in a row3

Serve & return performance

Key performance gaps
AcesSmith K. served 12 aces, Sun F. 5. Largest performance gap of the match.+7Smith K.12Sun F.5
First-serve pointsSmith K. won 78% of points behind the first serve, Sun F. 70%.+8 ptsSmith K.1st-serve pts won78%Sun F.1st-serve pts won70%

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Smith K. leads 2–0
20

Draw

Closing odds

Next up

vs Schoolkate T.View match

Player context

Before the match
Smith K.Sun F.1 702ELO1 6851 656Hard ELO1 6466–4Last 105–528Age30201 cmHeight178 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $255K2026 $108KEarningsCareer $530K2026 $69K

Match info

  • Started12:00 local
  • Duration2h 15m

Cite this

Keegan Smith beat Fajing Sun 3-6 6-4 7-6(3). Umpiry, "Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun — Guangzhou Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/smith-vs-sun-guangzhou-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).