Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig — Lisbon Quarter-final
Why
Surface+191 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Trungelliti M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1627Against the prediction · Trungelliti M.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 845
Clay ELO1 781
Last 106–4
Age36
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.0M2026 $856K
ELO1 794
Clay ELO1 730
Last 109–1
Age21
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $347K2026 $154K
Marco Trungelliti faces Matej Dodig in the Lisbon quarter-final on clay. Marco Trungelliti is the paper favourite — ranked #90, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage — but Matej Dodig arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 7 on clay to Marco Trungelliti's 5 of 7.
Key context
- Freshness: Marco Trungelliti comes in with 1 days of rest and 136 games in 14d, vs Matej Dodig's 1 and 213.
- Last match: Marco Trungelliti dropped the opening set before beating Carlo Alberto Caniato 4–6 7–6 6–3.
- Surface form: Marco Trungelliti 5 of 7, Matej Dodig 6 of 7 on clay recently — Matej Dodig the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Trungelliti M.Dodig M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–49–1 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (36–29)66% (41–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1845 (ahead)1794
Clay-court ELO1781 (ahead)1730
Serve vs returnLast 61 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won71%73% (ahead)
Return points won38%39% (ahead)
Aces / match4.75.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 61 vs 60 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)60%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig — Lisbon Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/dodig-vs-trungelliti-lisbon-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).